🎢 Tug of war | Event betting | Allocation thinking

Updates for T1 (old Profits Unlimited) & T2 (old Extreme Fortunes) are up

Disclaimer/Legal stuff written in plain english

What you read/watch/hear is OPINION not financial/investment advice. Treat it no different than when you read/watch/hear your favorite author/youtuber/podcaster. Despite best efforts we get things wrong and make mistakes. Investing is risky. There is no guarantee you will make money. Your investments may lose value. That’s RISK. We cannot give you personalized financial advice because we are NOT financial advisors. It’s on you to decide how much/when/what to buy/sell based on YOUR financial needs, plans and risk preferences. It's your money and your responsibility.

Publishing the Substack Early Today

We are sending this substack out a little early today to address some of the community’s concerns as soon as possible today. We will be back to our usual 4:30 PM ET time moving forward.

#stronghands 🙌 #BOP 🚀 nation update ❤️

• 3,811 (+32 from Wednesday) substack subscribers

• 45,813 (+4,062 from Wednesday) 🥞 site hits since July 15

B.’s Community Update

Hi everyone,

Let’s get right into talking about the Kickstarter reward perks emails/fulfillment. I sincerely apologize for the delays in our responses. There are thousands of you and only 2 of us. I am actively working on responding to each email while also trying to make sure that any new contributors are getting their reward emails as well. With almost 600 emails in my inbox alone, it will take us some time to get to each of you. I know that getting early access to our services is incredibly important and we are working diligently to get through it all as quickly as we possibly can (with even two 24 hr shifts myself thrown in the mix 🙃). Again, we are working on a Mom and Pop shop level at this time, so ask for your grace as we work to fulfill all of the rewards.

Also, thank you for everyone who is still giving to our Kickstarter campaign. We sincerely appreciate you for your continued support as we near the official launch of our services next Wednesday, Sept. 7th. If you are interested in contributing to the Kickstarter before launch to receive early access and other perks, here is the link:

https://fnd.us/LaunchATGD?ref=ab_8BeHmb_sh_aBeFV3

Well that is all for me. Going to get back to serving all of you as quickly as I can. If I missed anything in this update, please let us know by commenting/responding to this substack or through Paul/Ian’s social channels. Until tomorrow (or sometime today via kickstarter reward emails 😅). ❤️

Ian’s 🧔‍♂️ insanely awesome NEW Youtube channel & Substack

Ian has his own NEW YouTube channel and Substack newsletter. Ian (as you all know) is incredible with his knowledge of crypto, stocks, trading, macro and hard core financial analysis.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMNFWWZFSptM4LExpLdmkoQ

Substack: iandyer.substack.com

Markets are 🎢 again — why?

Stock and crypto prices are 🎢 again. What’s going on? Remember how I told you that prices for our stocks are being set by event betting right now? Well that’s what is going on.

Event betting is where short term speculators use leveraged instruments like futures & options to bet on a outcome. Just some background — leveraged means you use $1 to control $5 or $10. So if you win, you get paid as if you bet $5 or $10. If you lose, you’ll lose a maximum of $1. Because of this many big money speculators use options and futures to speculate and hedge their investments.

Event betting 🏇 is setting market prices right now

Right now the stock market prices are being set almost entirely by people who are betting on BIG events that affect inflation and interest rates. And this week and month, we have a series of big events coming up on these inflation and interest rates. So, big up and down moves will happen as these events unfold.

September 2, (tomorrow) we have August “Non Farm Payrolls.” In non-jargon that means anyone that does not work on a farm. Simply, this number shows how many people gained or lost jobs in August.

September 13, is the release of inflation for the month of August.

September 16, Options/futures expiration “triple witching”🧹. This is a non- inflation/interest rate event. However, it’s a big event because it touches all markets.

September 20 -21, is the Federal Reserve meeting

There is a tug of war going on

This tug of war is happening through the BIG event betting going on about inflation and interest rates. One group expects interest rates to rise because of inflation. And the second group expects interest rates to peak and start of fall because economic weakness. When the first group is making big bets, they are selling and pushing prices down. Why? Because they are selling in anticipation of even lower prices in the future. The opposite happens when the second group is making bets. As they buy, they lift prices higher. A tug of war is going on and we’re in the middle for now.

You know where we stand on this tug of war

If you are reading our substacks you know where we stand on this tug of war. We are with the folks in the second group. And the reasons for that we laid out in multiple substacks on August 25, 26 & 30, so won’t repeat it here. I believe we’re near the end of this tug of war. And when this tug of war ends we expect market prices to be set by investors who focus on sales growth, business prospects and future forecasts.

Knowing how to allocate can mean BIG 💲💲💲

How do you decide to allocate or weight your buys? Are you the type to buy based on your gut instincts or based on what you feel or like? If you are, you are in the “I KNOW” category of allocation.

I KNOW - I do what I think is right

The “I KNOW” way of allocating has benefits and risks. Benefits are that you only own what you like. If you’re in this category, you’re likely making BIG bets on these investments. Most likely, your portfolio is concentrated, highly focused. You experience BIG volatility.

The upside is that when you win and you win big. However, you’re taking BIG risks. When you get your picks wrong, you end up losing big. Then, you sometimes miss out on other things you dislike. And sometimes these go up more and sooner than the ones you like.

Missing Tesla

For example, many folks disagreed with my Tesla recommendation and skipped it. Tesla turned out to be a big winner. Finally, I’ll say in my opinion this “I KNOW” way should only be used by folks who spend a lot of time researching, studying investing for obvious reasons.

NO ONE KNOWS - Equal weight

The essence of the “NO ONE KNOWS” way of investing is markets are unpredictable. NOo one knows with a 100% certainty what investment will go up the most or the fastest. So, having lots of small bets means you give yourself many chances to win. So, folks using this way, would have bought a small amount of Tesla (even if you did not particularly like ) the recommendation to buy it.

Many folks don’t follow investing enough to have deep likes about stocks. For them, what’s right is to have lots of chances to make BIG money. The way to have lots of chances to make BIG money means smaller bets on many things.

This is why we the tell you to equal weight in our Rules of the game. Equal weight means you put an equal amount by $$ amount into each investment. Losses are also smaller because your bets are smaller.

Maximize the chances of making BIG money

In my opinion, this way is less risky than the “I KNOW” way. The reason why this way is less risk is because small bets mean that no single investment has the ability to make you poor. But every single investment has the possibility to make you rich. Our ideas/investments/crypto/stocks — in success mode these ideas can really, genuinely deliver on gains in the 100s, 1000s and 10,000s of percent. This is why we say this is our favored mode of allocation.

BIGGER IS BETTER - the market knows

Last, you can allocate by “BIGGER IS BETTER.” The S&P 500 is set up like this. The S&P 500 for those who don’t know is a basket/portfolio of the 500 biggest stocks that trade in US markets. When you hear someone talk about “the market” it is a reference to the S&P 500.

Just some color on the S&P 500, hedge funds, mutual funds and professional investors are judged based on their ability to beat this portfolio/basket of stocks. That’s one reason it’s referred to as “the market.” Now you also understand what “beating the market” means.

If you buy the S&P 500 as a portfolio through you are buying a basket/portfolio of stocks that is based on "BIGGER IS BETTER" principle. day. Now, the reason why the S&P 500 is set up this way is based on the idea that if a company is big, there is good reason for it. So, if that is right, putting more money into the biggest companies makes sense.

Research showing Bigger may not be better

Now the thing is that there is long term research that shows that an equal weighted version of the S&P 500 portfolio/basket actually beats the “BIGGER IS BETTER” version. And this is another reason why we have equal weighting in our Rules of the Game.

Tomorrow: Back to the Bull Market checklist 📋 . Where are we? Also, I promise you an update on the #GBC list which I am still working on. Just not enough time today to get to it. Sorry. But still hoping to get this to kickstart supporters next week!

It’s Thursday. Markets needs some LOVE today tbh. But, still the truth remains that in the end there is only LOVE ❤️!!!

TODAY, on September 1, 2022, all of US - ME - WE

WE are are SO grateful for your belief and support! 🙏🙏🙏. Still working on gettiong a picture of all of us together!

🧡This Substack made 4 YOU by US with LVOE 🧡 LOVE from our Heart ❤️