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What you read/watch/hear is OPINION, not financial/investment advice. Treat it no different than when you read/watch/hear your favorite author/YouTuber/podcaster. Despite our best efforts, we get things wrong and make mistakes. Investing is risky. There is no guarantee you will make money. Your investments may lose value. Thatâs RISK. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Employees, contractors, and owners of ATG Digital, LLC own/trade/transact in the stocks, options and crypto that are the subject of our trade alerts, updates, reports, and commentaries. We cannot give you personalized financial advice because we are NOT financial advisors. Itâs on you to decide how much/when/what to buy/sell based on YOUR financial needs, plans, and risk preferences. There are no guarantees. Loss of your capital is an outcome that you should evaluate carefully with a financial advisor before you trade, speculate, or invest. It's your money and your responsibility.
Bâs Community Update âïž
Hi, everyone! I hope youâre well and that the weather is good in your part of the world.
Letâs get into my updatesâŠ
New Website đ»
As weâre nearing the end of Q1, I wanted to provide a brief update on the progress of the new website. Weâre still on track to complete the new website by the end of the month.
Providing a smooth and seamless transition from our current site to the new website is my number one priority, and Iâm committed to doing whatever it takes to try and accomplish that.Â
To ensure that the new website meets the communityâs needs before initiating the transition, weâll select and contact a group of our most engaged ATG community members to test it out before officially launching it.Â
That way, we can make all necessary changes and address the bugs beforehand.Â
Iâll provide more updates in our next Q&A Substack.
Upcoming Events đ
$10K Donor Community Board Meeting: Meet with the executive team to discuss the current state of the company and our future plans. Thursday, April 20, at 5:30 p.m. ET.Â
A recording of the meeting will be sent out to all Kickstarter donors.
***Weâre also in the process of planning semi-annual meetings for our Purple Members and $1K+ Donors â starting soon.***
Well, thatâs all for me today!
(Instead of ending with my usual âHave a great rest of your weekend!â I'd like to try something more humorous to get us through these bearish times. Let me know what you think.)
And like my grandma always says, âDonât take no wooden nickels.â đ đ„°ïž
Substack đ„ Questions
Question From Johnny Invest:Â
Looking at how well MARA is performing makes CORZ just that much more of a surprise, and disappointment! Did their mgmt team just completely mis-manage the company?
Paulâs Response:Â
Bitcoin/crypto mining is a cyclical business. These businesses boom in good times and bust in bad ones. A good model is the gold/silver mining industry.Â
The best way to deal with this is to own a bunch of companies knowing that even if you spent 1,000 hours analyzing them, inevitably, by the nature of cyclical businesses, youâd have some losers.
Question From Johnny Invest:Â
Paul, I know you use a 3-5 year holding period for your investment ideas. Who tracks this? Many of your ideas have already been held for 2-3 years with massive losses. So, who at ATG says hey it's been 3 years we're down 60% from buy price time to move on?
Paulâs Response:Â
I have no idea when people begin counting their time frames. We measure it from when we put it into the portfolio.Â
And writing about how itâs been X, Y, or Z years already doesnât change the nature of speculating/investing. Returns take time.Â
If you donât want to endure through time and need your investments to generate returns with specific, accurate precision, I doubt our style of speculating/investing is going to be right for you.Â
Our time frames are not some Swiss watch. Theyâre estimates based on previous experience of how long things take to work out. Also, sometimes all your returns can come at once after a long period.Â
The future is uncertain, and investment returns are the rewards for taking on that uncertainty.Â
Question From Stachnik:Â
Paul I know you love to find "cheap" stocks of revolutionary technology but why every time your readers continue to experience big losses - why you talk about so many stocks - do you really have a time to study them more to make selection of stocks which are gaining in momentum - too many are falling further down after your recorded presentation .... Look back for last 3 months.
Paulâs Response:Â
Like you, I have a choice of what to focus on. I focus on finding stocks that can produce big money over time.Â
Iâm not a short-term trader focusing on three-month returns. I want to focus on investments that have the potential to generate life-changing gains. Those come from being in them for years â not days, weeks, or even months.Â
I write about the #GBC100 daily because itâs our version of the S&P 500. It shows people how our investments, as a broad class of investments, are doing daily compared to indices like the S&P 500.
YouTube đș Questions
Question From Leo:Â
Hey, Paul! Thanks for your thoughts! What do you think about the recent Hindenburg report on Blockâs alleged fraud?Â
I understand that they of course massively benefit from any fall in the share price so naturally theyâd want to be convincing. Nonetheless, is there any truth to what they say?Â
Thanks so much from the Netherlands!
Paulâs Response:Â
I thought the Hindenburg report was a bunch of BS. This is why we put on an option trade to bet on higher prices the day it was released.Â
Then, we added Block Inc. (NYSE: SQ) to our Silver Tier portfolio to take advantage of the low prices caused by the release of this report. I also did my last YouTube video on SQ 0.00%â!
Twitter đŁ Questions
Question:Â
Paulâs Response:Â
Iâve never recommended any kind of weighting to T-Bills or CDs.Â
This is a choice thatâs based on a personâs personal preferences and depends on your risk profile, time frame, and needs for liquidity.Â
Paid Member đ€ Questions
Question From John:Â
Paul,
Can you explain your portfolio and how you are following Rule #2 Equal weight investing?
When I look over your portfolio, the numbers are not equally weighted. When you say equal weighted based on your explanation, I expect you take for example $10,000 and divide it by the number of stocks you recommend and invest equally in each company.Â
As you explained at BH, you don't know who will explode over the 2 to 3 year investment period.
So, when I see you not equally invested as a $ ownership, not shares or current price per share. I'm looking at total invested, how does this follow your rules of investing?
Thank you for your time.
Paulâs Response:Â
Equal weighting is something we recommend as a guideline in our Rules of the Game. Yes, equal weighting means putting an equal dollar amount into each stock and letting it be because no one knows which stock will go up the most or first.Â
So, you want to give yourself as many chances to win as possible.Â
At the same time, you want to be invested so that no single stock can make you poor, but every stock can make you rich.Â
Our portfolio pages have no allocation of any kind listed.
The only place we report on an equal-weighted portfolio at ATG is through the #GBC100. This is a passive index portfolio of 100 stocks equally weighted with $1,000 at the time of purchase.
Question From Tom:Â
Thanks Paul! Regarding Roku, what is their market share and how much more can be procured? There are competitors for sure, right (FireTV, Apple TV, others?)
Paulâs Response:Â
During the week, I covered Roku Inc. (Nasdaq: ROKU) in my Silver Tier update.Â
While other people talk about competition, I consider ROKU 0.00%â to be a monopoly. It has no competition.Â
Other companies in its business do it just to promote their products. ROKU 0.00%â is the only pure play, and in this way of thinking, it owns its business in full.Â
And over time, I imagine itâll capture everyone that wants access to a truly connected TV experience.
Question From Jarno:Â
What's going on with C3.Ai? Short sellers attack?
Paulâs Response:Â
Short sellers are part of the market.Â
New companies with high-flying stocks around technologies (AI) that are being hyped tend to draw short sellers. Itâs part and parcel of owning stocks like C3.ai Inc. (NYSE: AI 0.00%â).
Question From Chris:Â
Any thoughts on GMDA's recent changes?
Paulâs Response:Â
Gamida Cell Ltd. (Nasdaq: GMDA) is an early stage biotech. Its value is completely wrapped up in events â FDA approval of Omidubicel in the short term.Â
And its long-term value will come from the companyâs potential to commercialize the drug. It has a big day coming up on May 1 when it hopes to get an answer from the FDA on Omidubicel.Â
So, thatâs the next thing to focus on for GMDA 0.00%â.
Email đ§ Questions
Question From Fay Wan:Â
Dear Paul & team,
Would you please comment on the reverse split of WISH stock? Thank you!
Paulâs Response:Â
Reverse splits are dictated by exchange rules on minimum prices for stocks that trade on their exchange.Â
Like many of our stocks, ContextLogic Inc. (Nasdaq: WISH) has gotten crushed and has faced the predicament of needing to reverse split its stock to continue trading on a major exchange.
Hope This Helped! â€ïžïž
We hope that youâve enjoyed this Q&A â and that youâve had some questions answered along the way!
Weâll be back on Monday with all our usual content.
Until then, enjoy your weekend!
Questions? Concerns? đ€ Look Below đ
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You can also check our FAQ page on our website for an up-to-date list of questions and answers. Your question may have been addressed there.
*Please be advised that customer support calls are limited to 15 minutes and will strictly cover your membership subscription and billing needs only. Any calls that are disrespectful in nature may be subject to immediate termination.
Join us, be #BOP đ, be #StrongHands đ, #GoATG! ïžïžâ€ïžïž
Well Nicole waiting with excitement to see the new website!!! I am sure you have done an excellent work!!!. For the people that have been dire in this Q&A , it took me time to understand it that you need time to get Big Money and need Strong Hands in the downturn so when you are down do not get discouraged Paul has made Big Money and he will again. !!!! Keep the faith!!!
Paul, I have been with you since 2018. Some of the questions asked are not aware that the time frame used to be 1-2 yrs. Now its 3-5. Originally I was attracted by the result to increase the return of the S&P by 100%. I have not checked my overall results during this most recent time frame. I have a ytd return of 28%. Your rules have produced very positive results for me. Please continue helping me continue to invest profitably. I could not do it without your insights and experience. Thank you