Paul's Bitcoin Prediction for 2026 🔮
Bitcoin didn’t break — it evolved. 🧬
#ATG 🙌 #BOP 🚀 Nation Update❤️️
Hi, I’m Paul Mampilly.
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Paul: Bitcoin’s 30% Drop — Panic or Reset? 💥
The latest 30% correction in Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) may feel severe — but in historical context, it’s perfectly normal.
This is the exact setup we saw in January of this year after BTC hit a new all-time high near $109,300, followed by a 30% plunge to around $75K.
And just like then, fear is now spreading fast.
As always, some investors are calling for new lows . . . or even BTC spiraling to zero.
In my opinion, this isn’t the start of a bear market.
BTC is simply behaving like a mature financial asset experiencing normal volatility.
Gone are the predictable four-year cycles with parabolic peaks and violent collapses.
What we’re seeing now is “Bitcoin 2.0.”
Why This Isn’t a Bear Market 📉
Yes, a 30% drop stings.
But it’s a far cry from the 80%+ drawdown of 2021 – 2022.
And during the 2017 – 2018 bull run, BTC suffered multiple 40% pullbacks on the way up.
By comparison, the latest pullback seems downright polite.
Sharp corrections after new highs are standard bull-market behavior — not trend reversals.
The latest crash changes nothing about the larger trend.
5 Forces Hit at Once 🌪️
So, what caused this wave of selling?
Let’s look at five powerful forces that converged:
1️⃣ The $100K Exit Door Flew Open
Early miners and long-term holders — some holding 1,000 to 100,000 BTC bought at pennies — saw their unrealized generational wealth become liquid.
Many took that chance to secure these returns.
This caused expected, relentless selling pressure.
2️⃣ The “November Peak” Trade Imploded
Traders looked at past halving cycles and expected a blow-off top 18 months later, around November 2025.
But when prices dipped instead, a leveraged pile-on turned into a fast, self-reinforcing unwind.
3️⃣ Hyper-Leverage = Fragility in the Market
Retail traders can now access 50X, 100X, even 125X leverage with a single easy click thanks to perpetual futures.
As a result, the market has never been this sensitive at extremes.
A tiny 1% move can wipe out margin instantly, turning minor selling into cascading liquidations.
4️⃣ Option Expiration + Year-End Mechanics
Massive options and futures positions were set to expire November 21, 2025.
As BTC’s price dropped, that forced selling.
Then came the calendar-year cleanup, or funds cutting losers and banking winners before December 31.
5️⃣ The Halving Is Losing Influence
With 95% of BTC already mined, each halving now reduces supply by just 450 BTC per day (about $36 million).
That’s nothing compared to daily exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows or what early whales are offloading.
The old “halving → parabolic rally” script is losing power.
BTC is maturing, becoming more of a “normal” financial asset.
Until early whales finish distributing their holdings — or a flood of new institutional demand arrives — BTC will likely behave like other traditional risk assets with sharp rallies and pullbacks.
That’s not a flaw, it’s just maturity.
The Bull Case Is Still Alive 🚀
In our view, BTC could likely reach fresh highs by March 2026, with the potential to push toward $200K – $250K sometime next year.
Eventually, the supply of sellers will dry up — possibly late 2026 or early 2027.
When that happens, as demand from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and potentially countries rises, the crypto market could ignite with explosive growth.
We’re holding every Satoshi at ATG Digital because the risk/reward ratio remains overwhelmingly attractive to us.
Disciplined investors who understand the bigger picture realize these corrections are where fortunes can be made.
Want to learn more about the forces fueling BTC’s next major move? 👀
Check out our Bitcoin Trigger Report.
This is where we reveal the structural catalyst building momentum for BTC beneath the surface . . . a force bigger than ETFs, halvings, or institutional buyers.
You’ll want to see why this phenomenon is accelerating right now.
Click below to claim your free report now. 👇
#OGI100: Friday, November 21, 2025
The #OGI100 is up 0.66% today.
Created on September 22, 2022, the #OGI100 is an index/portfolio composed of opportunity, growth, innovation, and crypto-related investments.
Our goals with the #OGI100 are twofold . . .
First, we want readers to get a sense of what our investments are doing in the market, because they can sometimes perform very differently than traditional indices (like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100).
Second, we’d like to eventually turn the #OGI100 into an exchange-traded fund (ETF).
That way, instead of owning hundreds of growth stocks, you can get exposure to ATG Digital thinking — in opportunity, growth, innovation, and crypto — all in one place.
To learn more or to express your support for the launch of an ETF (by completing a poll), click here.
Next Week: Paul reveals why the 20% rule is dying. 🤔
Weekly Roundup ✨
Missed your chance to read all our Substack articles this week?
Catch up on them here!
Monday — China’s Quiet Long-Game ♟️
Tuesday — A Dip Worth Buying 🤑
Wednesday — What’s Bitcoin’s Next Move? 🤔
Thursday — A Cash Machine Hiding in Plain Sight 💰
On Friday, November 21, 2025, share your favorite insight in the comments below! 👇
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Disclaimer/Legal Stuff Written in Plain English
What you read/watch/hear is OPINION, not financial/investment advice. Treat it no different than when you read/watch/hear your favorite author/YouTuber/podcaster. Despite our best efforts, we get things wrong and make mistakes. Investing is risky. There is no guarantee you will make money. Your investments may lose value. That’s RISK. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Employees, contractors, and owners of ATG Digital, LLC own/trade/transact in the stocks, options, and crypto that are the subject of our trade alerts, updates, reports, and commentaries. We cannot give you personalized financial advice because we are NOT financial advisors. It’s on you to decide how much/when/what to buy/sell based on YOUR financial needs, plans, and risk preferences. There are no guarantees. Loss of your capital is an outcome that you should evaluate carefully with a financial advisor before you trade, speculate, or invest. It’s your money and your responsibility.
The "Bitolution" is here!!
HODL up, STACK up, BUCKLE up for the ride of your life 😲🤩🤯
Hi Paul, Strategy looks cheap at themoment! What are your thoughts about it?